Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000727 0.000831 0.000942 0.001068 0.001207 0.001354 0.001523
2025-01-05 0.000564 0.000709 0.000873 0.001072 0.001304 0.001566 0.001881
2025-01-12 0.000470 0.000630 0.000820 0.001061 0.001354 0.001695 0.002119
2025-01-19 0.000395 0.000563 0.000771 0.001044 0.001387 0.001800 0.002327
2025-01-26 0.000355 0.000532 0.000761 0.001070 0.001469 0.001960 0.002600
2025-02-02 0.000320 0.000504 0.000749 0.001089 0.001540 0.002106 0.002859
2025-02-09 0.000279 0.000461 0.000712 0.001072 0.001561 0.002187 0.003034
2025-02-16 0.000241 0.000419 0.000673 0.001047 0.001566 0.002245 0.003180
2025-02-23 0.000219 0.000399 0.000662 0.001059 0.001622 0.002370 0.003413
2025-03-02 0.000200 0.000379 0.000651 0.001069 0.001673 0.002487 0.003638
2025-03-09 0.000172 0.000343 0.000611 0.001035 0.001659 0.002516 0.003745
2025-03-16 0.000148 0.000311 0.000574 0.001001 0.001644 0.002540 0.003843
2025-03-23 0.000133 0.000292 0.000558 0.000999 0.001674 0.002629 0.004034
2025-03-30 0.000120 0.000277 0.000545 0.001000 0.001709 0.002725 0.004236
2025-04-06 0.000107 0.000258 0.000526 0.000990 0.001727 0.002796 0.004404
2025-04-13 0.000094 0.000239 0.000504 0.000974 0.001732 0.002849 0.004546
2025-04-20 0.000089 0.000235 0.000507 0.000998 0.001802 0.002996 0.004826
2025-04-27 0.000083 0.000229 0.000507 0.001017 0.001862 0.003130 0.005089
2025-05-04 0.000073 0.000212 0.000487 0.001001 0.001866 0.003181 0.005231
2025-05-11 0.000064 0.000195 0.000463 0.000977 0.001856 0.003208 0.005339
2025-05-18 0.000059 0.000189 0.000460 0.000989 0.001904 0.003326 0.005583
2025-05-25 0.000055 0.000182 0.000456 0.000998 0.001948 0.003438 0.005818
2025-06-01 0.000047 0.000166 0.000429 0.000965 0.001921 0.003438 0.005887